Global Capital Networks

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Debt Restructuring -  who has a stake in the end-game for Greece?

In the above - you can also click through a presentation with more detail here  -  we visit a number of spaces in Quantum4D focusing on the cross boarder flow of capital.   First we focus on Greece and then compare it to peers - Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Spain.   You can watch the evolution of funds flow over time and how the migration of capital shifted.   You can also choose your own countries to focus on - drag, drop and simply unfold networks like these.   We then visit the pan-Europe view and filter to see the main arteries of funds flows into our countries of focus.   Finally, we show the whole thing - we encourage people to show us if they know of a more complete public picture of the global flow of capital.   

Actionable Intelligence: the Bank of International Settlements data itself has a quarterly lag.   This should be useful to policy makers.   For those with a more real-time bend, this can be used in conjunction with real-time market feeds to develop a proxy for the distribution of funds flows captured in global market prices.   That can be done in Quantum4D and we're glad to discuss how such a disaggregation could lead to strategic information on what positions to take relative to international markets.  More generally, as it is, the mental image of watching these movies is effective food for the 'gut' for traders - these reveal the underlying structure of global capital markets that is otherwise lost in large datasets (see source link below).

View Settings: here are the mappings used in most of the views shown above

Width (relations): foreign claims of reporting banks - immediate borrower basis

Color (relations/objects):  Quarterly or Chg. since December 2008 

Size (objects): aggregate (sum) of inflows or outflows (depending on whether it's the country/bank)

(there are also other uses with calculations shown in the pentagon looking chart of PIIGS)

Some of the spaces shown in the movie are here:  Greece, PIIGS, Spain, Europe

Data Source:Bank of International Settlements (table 9B - warning link to 1.8MB file)

All BIS data can be dynamically up-dated in Quantum4D

BIS Data - and many other sources - are unified in one place that lets you navigate and connect data tables, drag and drop instead of download and merge

Search for "PIIGS" to find these spaces in the public portion of Global Capital Compass.

"Indeed, more than €300 billion of Greece's public debt is held by non-residents, mostly financial institutions from Germany, France and Switzerland. They will have to forego a part of that. Too much time has already been lost by ignoring the Greek crisis. Without such a plan B, if Greece collapses in a disorderly way then the domino effect hitting Spain, Portugal and other parts of the euro zone could be very rapid and dangerous. Eventually, this could lead to a destruction of the monetary union."  Nouriel Roubini,  Der Spiegel May 10th 2010