What Do Normal Stocks Normally Do?

Submitted by Theo Armour on Tue, 05/11/2010 - 17:07

Revision 1.1 ~  2010-05-14 ~ images updated, added new last line to Preface

Disclaimer: I am not, in any way, a statistician nor a "quant". I cannot pretend to be an expert in the way that stocks move or markets function. I do have a background in programming and and visual design. I do like to identify patterns.

Preface

Using Quantum4D (disclosure: I am an investor in the company) I am able to overlay large numbers of stock charts over one another. This is a feature rarely supported by stock market charting software. While investigating the application of these charts and the various capabilities of the software, I seem to be uncovering patterns in markets that I have never seen before. I would very much appreciate your help in identifying the underlying causes of these patterns.

This paper is the first in a series of papers that seek to highlight interesting patterns in stock markets.

Collective Intelligence & Crisis Prediction (real-time exploration)

Submitted by michael_warner on Sat, 05/15/2010 - 13:42

The network in the network

How do you get ahead of stories like AIG back in September 2008?

What did the story look like before it became a story?

 

We believe in a billion brains working together on a wholistic approach - a hybrid of statistics and structural understanding will provide the transparency, efficiency and network awareness (but on cross industry scale) necessary to anticipate risks and mitigate systemic crisis.  

 

Start with a top level view of 'everything' and add more details.

We've come a long way - so far now that we invite you to challenge us with your greatest challenges.

 

Who knew when and how did the story evolve?  These are social network and information questions.

We're going to following the recent developments in Greece here on our new blog as an experiment in illustrating how a hybrid social network, analysis environment and predictive markets engine might combine to provide an early warning system in the pre-crisis noise.

 

Integrating Analytics in Quantum4D

Submitted by michael_warner on Sun, 07/12/2009 - 17:30

You mentioned that data from statistical packages can be imported. I think you stated S-Plus was possible. But I didn’t hear you mention SPSS. I use SPSS 16. Can that data be imported directly from SPSS?

 

Taxonomy in Quantum4D

Submitted by michael_warner on Sun, 07/12/2009 - 17:33

Who creates the taxonomy in the first place?  I imagine the metadata is pulled from the different databases, is that correct? Is there a white paper or some other document that explains how that occurs?

 

Greek & Spanish Debt | Who stands to lose with restructuring?

Submitted by michael_warner on Fri, 05/28/2010 - 15:57

A view of Greek/Spanish debt

You can see more here in this gallery and presentation

 

Here we drill down for a look at specific bank exposures.

Metadata and Quantum4D

Submitted by michael_warner on Sun, 07/12/2009 - 17:31

You mention that in addition to metadata built into the system, new elements were ‘remembered’ based on the way the users searched.  You called this folksonomy. In my work, I’ve used a description of folksonomy as a  user-generated taxonomy but have viewed it as something the user added themselves, as with tagging of photos uploaded to Flickr or tags added to bookmarks added to Delicious.com. Is folksonomy the term also used for tags the system generates based on user activity?  I am not familiar with that use.

 

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